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1984 Carolinas tornado outbreak

1984 natural disaster in the Southeastern United States

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Through Tornado, Great Plains and Troposphere

Tornadoes first touched down shortly after ~3:00 p.m. EST (UTC–05:00) in Georgia, continuing into South Carolina throughout the evening. Two more tornadoes struck Laurens County, injuring dozens, and another near Monroe, North Carolina, before a series of tornadoes struck Newberry, Monticello, and Winnsboro, South Carolina respectively, causing seven fatalities altogether and severe damage. After a downtrend in activity, during which tornadoes struck near Kershaw and in the Carolina Sandhills National Wildlife Refuge, three consecutive F4 tornadoes touched down near Cash, Bennettsville, and McColl, South Carolina near nightfall. The latter killed seven, all in South Carolina, and the third killed two in McColl before continuing into North Carolina, where it struck Maxton and Red Springs, killing three. Another series of tornadoes, on the ground almost always synonymously with each other at some point, struck Salemburg, Mt Olive, La Grange, and the Greenville suburbs respectively, killing a combined 31 people, 16 of which were from one tornado. Another supercell to the northeast first produced a tornado near Lewiston Woodville, killing six, then produced two tornadoes near Ahoskie and Harrellsville before producing another tornado that killed two people near Carter. A tornado struck near Loris in South Carolina before continuing into North Carolina and passing near Tabor City, after which the final tornado of the event formed over the Albemarle Sound at ~11:20 p.m. EST and struck Snug Harbor, killing one.

Meteorological synopsis

Progression through March 27

On the evening of March 27, upper-air plots identified a broad and powerful upper-level trough exiting the southern Rocky Mountains into the Great Plains. Winds in the upper reaches of the troposphere accelerated upwards of 140 kn (160 mph; 260 km/h) across Texas and Mississippi. In the mid-levels of the atmosphere, the trough detached into a cut-off low, while a potent shortwave trough rounded the base of this feature into the Gulf Coast of the United States. Winds at this level increased to 95 kn (110 mph; 175 km/h), and notably, became increasingly diffluent across the Southeastern United States. Prior to the main event on March 28, several weak tornadoes, rated F0 to F1, occurred in Texas, Louisiana, Alabama, and Georgia.

March 28

Early on March 28, a surface area of low pressure developed over eastern Texas and reached a minimum barometric pressure of 987 mb (29.1 inHg) as it pushed into western Tennessee later that day. Winds in the lower levels of the atmosphere intensified to 50–60 kn (60–70 mph; 95–110 km/h) and likewise increased at the surface, contributing to significant warm air advection to the south of a warm front draped across the Appalachian Mountains in North Carolina. By 15:00 UTC, surface dewpoints had surged in excess of 60 °F (16 °C) across Georgia and South Carolina, at which time forecasters at the National Weather Service Severe Local Storms Unit (SLSU) – equivalent to the modern-day Storm Prediction Center – outlined a moderate risk of severe weather from southwestern Georgia northeastward into southern Maryland. Within three hours, these moist dewpoints surged well into eastern North Carolina as the surface low pushed into southern Kentucky.

To the south of the original area of low pressure, a distinct mesoscale low-pressure center developed along the warm front across northern Alabama at around 18:00 UTC, and within three hours, it had rapidly deepened to a barometric pressure of 976 mb (28.82 inHg). This system moved rapidly northeast at speeds up to 55 kn (65 mph; 100 km/h), thus crossing into eastern North Carolina during the evening hours. As it did so, low-level winds across the eastern Carolinas originated from a southerly direction instead of a southwesterly direction; this shift in flow created a strongly sheared environment across the region. Meanwhile, afternoon temperatures climbed above 80 °F (27 °C), contributing to significant destabilization. Convective available potential energy values rose between 2,000 and 3,000 J/kg into North Carolina, with locally higher values observed in northeastern South Carolina.

These environmental conditions bore strong resemblance to the idealized tornado setup across the Carolinas, and they prompted the SLSU to upgrade areas from eastern Alabama into the Outer Banks of North Carolina to a high risk of severe weather, the first occurrence on record in this portion of the United States. As the meso-low moved across the Carolinas, it was supported by a surface trough to its east-northeast which likely formed as a result of differential heating. Strong low-level convergence associated with this feature led to vigorous thunderstorm development in close proximity to the low, where low-level helicity was maximized and highly supportive of supercell thunderstorms. Supercells first began producing tornadoes across Upstate South Carolina around 19:15 UTC and continued to do so as they moved northeast, passing between Columbia and Charlotte around 22:00 UTC, near Fayetteville around 00:00 UTC on March 29, and finally ending north of the Albemarle Sound in northeastern North Carolina around 02:00 UTC. One supercell moving near the center of a low pressure system produced the brunt of the tornadoes that day, of which seven were rated F4 and three F3. In total, 24 tornadoes were confirmed, with 11 each in the Carolinas and 2 in Georgia. The size and scope of the event drew parallels to the 1884 Enigma tornado outbreak and, later, the tornado outbreak of April 16, 2011. March 28, 1984 held the record for number of tornadoes in the Carolinas until the latter event, where 39 tornadoes struck the Carolinas, of which 31 struck North Carolina alone. To date, it holds the record for the most violent tornadoes seen in the Carolinas on a single day. Comparisons were also drawn to the 1925 Tri-State tornado outbreak given the progression of an intense collection of tornadoes located near the meso-low, and the significant track length of an extensive tornado family from South Carolina to North Carolina.

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