1991 VG

Orbit

Soon after 1991 VG's discovery, its heliocentric orbit was found to be very similar to Earth's orbit and it was calculated that it would make a close approach to Earth in the month after discovery at 1.2 lunar distances or 0.003 AU (450,000 km; 280,000 mi) on 5 December 1991. 1991 VG also passed 0.0568 AU from Earth on 7 August 2017 and 0.0472 AU on 11 February 2018. Given such an Earth-like orbit, the dynamical lifetime of such an object is relatively short with the object quickly either impacting Earth or being perturbed by Earth onto a different orbit. The similarity of its orbit with Earth was also very difficult to explain from natural sources, with ejecta from a recent Lunar impact or non-gravitational perturbations such as the Yarkovsky effect having been suggested. The first Earth Trojan asteroid, 2010 TK₇, was later identified and such objects could well be a source for objects like 1991 VG.

1991 VG has been a transient co-orbital of the horseshoe type in the past (for example between AD 1382 and 1667) and it will return to such in the future. In 1991–1992 it looped around the Earth in a retrograde manner (east to west) with closest approach at 0.00306 AU on 5 December 1991. It had an eccentricity of less than 1 with respect to the Earth from 23 February to 21 March 1992, but was outside of Earth's Hill sphere. This temporary capture has taken place multiple times in the past and it is expected to repeat again in the future.

Currently, it is falling behind Earth as it orbits the Sun along with Earth. The two will again be on the same side of the Sun in November 2038.

Simulation has been performed for 5000 years into the future without detecting an impact on Earth. Around 400 BC there was an approach to a distance of around 0.001 AU, closer than the Moon (see Figure 1 in the paper by Carlos and Raúl de la Fuente Marcos).

Possible monolithic structure

Since the discovery of 1991 VG, about 80% of small asteroids with absolute magnitudes fainter than 22.0 (corresponding to sizes smaller than about 200 meters) which have had their lightcurve measured have rotation periods under 2 hours. The so-called fast rotators are typically monolithic bodies or, alternatively, welded conglomerates with a sufficient intrinsic strength to counteract centrifugal forces. More slowly rotating asteroids are sometimes gravitationally bound aggregates or rubble piles.

Possible artificial origin

The uncertainty of the object's origin, combined with rapid variation in the object's brightness in images obtained during its close passage with Earth in early December 1991, led to some speculation that 1991 VG might be a spent rocket fuel tank. There was speculation that it could be a rocket body from a satellite launched in the early 1970s, or from the Apollo 12 mission. A detailed analysis of the available evidence confirms that there is no compelling reason to believe that 1991 VG is not natural. The natural versus artificial issue also emerged in the case of the temporary capture episode experienced by near-Earth asteroid 2022 NX1.

Exploration

The Near-Earth Asteroid Scout is a low-cost CubeSat solar sail spacecraft by NASA capable of encountering near-Earth asteroids and taking high resolution images and 1991 VG was the planned target before 2020 GE became the new target. The spacecraft was successfully launched into heliocentric orbit on 16 November 2022, however contact with the spacecraft was not successfully established and it is considered lost.