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1994 Atlantic hurricane season

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Through Tornado, El Niño–Southern Oscillation and Atmospheric pressure

Alberto produced significant rainfall and flooding in the Southeastern United States, damaging or destroying over 18,000 homes. In August, Tropical Storm Beryl produced heavy rainfall in Florida, Georgia, South Carolina, and North Carolina, with moderate to heavy rainfall throughout several other states. Beryl caused numerous injuries, many of which occurred from a tornado associated with the tropical storm. Tropical Storm Debby killed nine people in the Caribbean in September. Hurricane Gordon was the most significant storm of the season, causing damage from Costa Rica to North Carolina among its six landfalls. Extreme flooding and mudslides from Gordon caused approximately 1,122 fatalities in Haiti—almost 97% of deaths this season were due to Gordon. Gordon was also one of the longest-lived Atlantic hurricanes on record at the time. In addition, a nor'easter in December may have had tropical characteristics, though due to the uncertainty, it was not classified as a tropical system.

The season caused 1,197 deaths and around $1.81 billion (1994 USD), mostly because of Gordon and Alberto.


Seasonal forecasts

Forecasts of hurricane activity are issued before each hurricane season by noted hurricane experts such as William M. Gray and his associates at Colorado State University (CSU). A normal season, as defined by the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, has 12.1 named storms, with 6.4 reaching hurricane strength, and 2.7 major hurricanes. On November 19, 1993, CSU predicted that the 1994 season would feature 13 named storms, 5 hurricanes, and 2 major hurricanes, citing expectations of a dissipating El Niño and a lessening of a drought in the Sahel, but also noting that an easterly quasi-biennial oscillation could inhibit tropical cyclogenesis. The Weather Research Center (WRC)'s early 1994 forecast called for 7 named storms and 4 hurricanes. CSU updated their predictions on March 11, decreasing the number of named storms to 10 and hurricanes to 6 but increasing the number of major hurricanes to 3.

After the season began, CSU issued another projection on June 5: 9 named storms, 5 hurricanes, and 1 major hurricane. This decrease in anticipated activity occurred because El Niño dissipated slower than expected, unfavorable east-west pressure and temperature gradient estimates over west Africa, and unconducive sea-level pressure and zonal wind anomalies values over the Caribbean Sea. These conditions, as well as below-average rainfall over west Africa, led CSU to lower the number of expected named storms and hurricanes to 7 and 4, respectively, in their final seasonal forecast on August 4.

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