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2026 United States fuel blockade on Cuba

Ongoing oil shortage and economic crisis

  • 15 min read
  • 4 chapters

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Through Cuba, Cuban Missile Crisis and Dissolution of the Soviet Union

The United States began blocking oil tankers heading to Cuba in February 2026, targeting companies such as the Mexican state-owned Pemex and threatening the responsible countries with tariffs should they resist. According to The New York Times later in February, this is the United States' first effective blockade of Cuba since the Cuban Missile Crisis. In January 2026, U.S. president Donald Trump called on Cuba to 'make a deal before it's too late'. Trump subsequently said the U.S. could implement a friendly takeover of Cuba.

On 13 March 2026, Cuban Communist Party first secretary Miguel Díaz-Canel publicly confirmed for the first time that his government was engaged in diplomatic talks with the United States aimed at addressing the severe U.S.‑imposed oil and energy blockade that had left them facing crippling fuel shortages and widespread power outages. The announcement came after years of frosty bilateral relations and was framed as an effort to find "solutions". As part of the effort, Cuba initially agreed to release 51 political prisoners. On 3 April 2026, Cuba released more than 2,000 prisoners. On 14 May 2026, the Cuban Ministry of Energy and Mines warned that the country had run out of oil and diesel.

Background

Following the Cuban Revolution that brought Fidel Castro into power in 1959, the United States has maintained an embargo on Cuba since 1962 after the Castro administration nationalized all U.S. properties. The severity of the embargo has varied over time, with a notable thaw in relations under President Barack Obama. The impact of the embargo became particularly consequential only after the collapse of the Soviet Union and the Eastern Bloc in 1991, who collectively supplied between 70% and 80% of Cuba's imports. This led to an economic crisis and the start of the Special Period, which lasted until 2000. The crisis significantly improved in 1999 after Hugo Chávez was elected as president of Venezuela, and began to support the country with heavily subsidized oil shipments. In return, Cuba sent doctors and security personnel to Venezuela.

During the second Trump presidency in January 2025, the U.S. government significantly tightened its economic sanctions against Cuba, orienting it around what it calls a "total pressure" or "maximum pressure" strategy.

A 2026 report by the Center for Economic and Policy Research stated that sanctions imposed on Cuba during Trump's first term were “likely the primary cause” for the increase in Cuba's infant mortality rate. Between 2018 and 2025, the rate increased 148%, from 4 to 9.9 per 1,000 live births. This also coincided with increased sanctions by the Joe Biden administration. The report didn't cover the effects of the 2026 U.S. fuel blockade but the authors speculated that it will likely have worsened the situation.

Cuba's economy is dependent on foreign oil with most oil historically imported from Venezuela and Mexico. Recent but persistent issues with Cuba's economy and electrical grid triggered the 2024–2026 Cuban protests and 2024–2026 Cuba blackouts. In December 2025, as part of the escalation that ended with the United States intervention in Venezuela, the United States seized tankers with Venezuelan oil destined for Cuba and declared a blockade on exports of Venezuelan oil.

After the Venezuela intervention by the U.S. that led to the capture of incumbent Venezuelan president Nicolás Maduro, Trump threatened potential military action towards multiple territories like Greenland, Colombia, Iran, and Cuba. On 29 January 2026, Executive Order 14380 was signed and entered into force on 30 January, declaring a national emergency in U.S. and authorizing the imposition of additional tariffs on imports into the United States from countries that directly or indirectly supply oil to Cuba. The United States confirmed that regime change in Cuba is a goal by the end of the year, asking the government of First Secretary of the Communist Party of Cuba Miguel Díaz-Canel to "make a deal before it's too late".

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