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Compound Poisson process

Random process in probability theory

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Through Stochastic process, Expected value and Variance

Y(t)=∑i=1N(t)Di

where, {N(t):t≥0} is the counting variable of a Poisson process with rate λ, and {Di:i≥1} are independent and identically distributed random variables, with distribution function G, which are also independent of {N(t):t≥0}.

When Di are non-negative integer-valued random variables, then this compound Poisson process is known as a stuttering Poisson process.

Properties of the compound Poisson process

The expected value of a compound Poisson process can be calculated using a result known as Wald's equation as:

E⁡(Y(t))=E⁡(D1+⋯+DN(t))=E⁡(N(t))E⁡(D1)=E⁡(N(t))E⁡(D)=λtE⁡(D).

Making similar use of the law of total variance, the variance can be calculated as:

var⁡(Y(t))=E⁡(var⁡(Y(t)∣N(t)))+var⁡(E⁡(Y(t)∣N(t)))=E⁡(N(t)var⁡(D))+var⁡(N(t)E⁡(D))=var⁡(D)E⁡(N(t))+E⁡(D)2var⁡(N(t))=var⁡(D)λt+E⁡(D)2λt=λt(var⁡(D)+E⁡(D)2)=λtE⁡(D2).

Lastly, using the law of total probability, the moment generating function can be given as follows:

Pr(Y(t)=i)=∑nPr(Y(t)=i∣N(t)=n)Pr(N(t)=n)
E⁡(esY)=∑iesiPr(Y(t)=i)=∑iesi∑nPr(Y(t)=i∣N(t)=n)Pr(N(t)=n)=∑nPr(N(t)=n)∑iesiPr(Y(t)=i∣N(t)=n)=∑nPr(N(t)=n)∑iesiPr(D1+D2+⋯+Dn=i)=∑nPr(N(t)=n)MD(s)n=∑nPr(N(t)=n)enln⁡(MD(s))=MN(t)(ln⁡(MD(s)))=eλt(MD(s)−1).

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