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E-commerce in India

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Through Compound annual growth rate, E-commerce and Google

India had an Internet user base of about 690 million in 2023, about 40 percent of the population. Despite India's being the second-largest user base in the world, behind only China (1.079 billion, 48 percent of population), its penetration of e-commerce is comparatively lower. However, an estimated 6 million new users were being added monthly in 2014.

In India, cash on delivery is the most preferred payment method, accumulating 75 percent of e-retail activities. Demand for international consumer products (including long-tail items) is growing faster than in-country supply from authorised distributors and e-commerce offerings. Long-tail (a term first coined in 2004 by Chris Anderson) business strategy allows companies to realise significant profits by selling low volumes of hard-to-find items to many customers, instead of selling only large volumes of a reduced number of popular items.

Market size and growth

India's e-commerce market was worth about US$3.9 billion in 2009. As per "India Goes Digital", a report by Avendus Capital, the Indian e-commerce market was estimated at ₹28,500 crore (US$6.3 billion) for the year 2011. Online travel constitutes a sizeable portion (87 percent) of this market today. The online travel market in India had a growth rate of 22 percent over the next four years and reached ₹54,800 crore (US$12.2 billion) in size by 2015. The Indian e-tailing industry was estimated at ₹3,600 crore (US$800 million) in 2011 and was estimated to grow to ₹53,000 crore (US$11.8 billion) in 2015. In 2013, the market went up to US$12.6 billion, and the e-retail segment was worth US$2.3 billion. About 79 percent of India's e-commerce market was travel-related in 2013. According to Google India, there were 35 million online shoppers in India in the first quarter of 2014, a figure expected to cross the 100-million mark by the end of 2016.

Compound annual growth rate vis-à-vis a global growth rate of 8 to 10 percent. Electronics and apparel are the biggest sales categories. Overall, the e-commerce market reached ₹1,07,800 crore (US$24 billion) by the year 2015, with both online travel and e-tailing contributing equally. Another big segment in e-commerce is mobile/direct-to-home recharge, with nearly a million transactions daily by operator websites. The year 2016 also saw an increase in online sales of luxury products, such as jewellery. Most of the retail brands had also started entering the market, and expected at least 20 percent sales to be online in the next two to three years. According to Google India Research in 2016, by 2021 India was expected to generate US$100 billion online retail revenue, out of which US$35 billion would be through fashion e-commerce.

The e-commerce industry was reported at US$24 billion in 2017, recognised as the fastest-growing industry in India. The e-commerce market grew to US$38.5 billion in 2018. As of 2020, it was estimated that one in every three Indian shopped via smartphone, and online retailers delivered to 20,000 pin codes out of the 100,000 in India. As per Goldman Sachs, India's e-commerce industry would reach US$99 billion in size, and online retail was expected to more than double to around 11 percent by 2024 from 4.7 percent in 2019, increasing at a 27 percent compound annual growth rate, and the online grocery segment below US$2 billion would reach US$29 billion in size by 2024. Online grocery orders was expected to grow from 3 million per day in 2019 to more than 5 million per day by 2024. Non-grocery e-commerce penetration was expected to be 16.1 percent by 2021.

As per property consultant Colliers International, the demand for warehousing of 5,000 to 10,000 square feet (square metres) in size would increase due to COVID-19 lockdowns, leading to a surge in online orders of essential items for same-day delivery, especially in Tier I cities like Mumbai, Kolkata, Bengaluru, Chennai, and New Delhi. Flipkart debuted a hyperlocal service called Flipkart Quick in Bengaluru to start 90-minute deliveries. Amazon observed a spike in page views with a four-times increase in "Add to Cart" during the lockdown, leading to a doubling of sales. It also started selling auto insurance in partnership with Acko General Insurance, available to users through Amazon's app and mobile website. With the opening of 10 new warehouses, the count of Amazon warehouses in India would stand at 60 across 15 states, an area equivalent to more than 100 football fields.

Report from software as a service (SaaS) provider Unicommerce in 2020 showed increasing penetration of e-commerce beyond Tier I cities, with major growth coming from Tier II and Tier III towns/villages due to increasing vernacular language content and improving last-mile delivery. Consumers were also diversifying their purchasing options from large-scale e-commerce channels like Amazon or Flipkart to specific retail brand websites. As per Goldman Sachs, three or four players could co-exist in the e-commerce space, given the size of India; but travel, food delivery, and ride-hailing services would see a maximum of two players capturing the market. Reliance Jio was expected to increase competition in grocery, fintech, online retail, and food delivery. In 2018, Amazon was India's largest e-commerce company by revenue.

From February 2020 to June 2020 during the COVID-19 lock-down period, e-commerce increased by 117 percent with the delivery of only essential supplies that is now bigger than the pre-COVID-19 level. Flipkart surpassed 1.5 billion visits per month, with a 45 percent growth in monthly active user and a 30 percent growth in transactions per consumer. Tier III markets were showing 53 percent year on year growth with higher Internet penetration and connectivity. Kinetic Green started selling electric auto rickshaws and golf carts online mainly in the eastern and northern parts of India with a revenue of ₹75 crore in 2019, standing at ₹100 crore as of August 2020. E-commerce helped Nestlé increase sales at a rate of 122 percent, which contributed to 3.6 percent of overall sales during the second quarter of 2020–21. Apple Inc. opened an online channel to sell products in India for the first time in August 2020 to target the festival seasons.

In 2020, Flipkart outsold Amazon by almost two to one by sales during festive retail season. In 2023, the largest e-commerce companies in India were Flipkart, Snapdeal, and Amazon. In 2026, Bloomberg reported that Amazon under Andy Jassy was scaling down the scope of its ambitions, after failed acquisitions and regulatory hurdles.

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