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Through South America, United Nations and Human Development Index

The Argentine peso lost ~50% of its value in 2018 because of hyperinflation (falling from ~18–20 to >38 pesos per U.S. dollar), prompting an IMF stand-by program. It fell another 25% in 2019, 90% in 2020, 68% in 2021, and 50% in 2022, 54% in 2023, 30% in 2024, before rising in 2025. The FTSE Global Equity Index (2018) listed Argentina as an emerging market and G20 member. Prolonged capital controls led MSCI to reclassify it as a standalone market in 2021.

History

Argentina's economy has swung from one of the world's richest in the early 20th century to repeated cycles of boom, bust, and hyperinflation, driven by commodity dependence, political instability, and policy shifts. Below is a summarized timeline based on historical data, with updates to 2025 reflecting recent reforms under Milei.

Pre-20th Century Foundations (Before 1880s)

Before the 1880s, Argentina's economy relied on salted meat, wool, leather, and hides for exports and income, with limited industrialization.

Golden age (1880–1905)

Argentina was one of the wealthiest countries in the world:

Argentina began the 20th century as one of the wealthiest places on the planet. In 1913, it was richer than France or Germany, almost twice as prosperous as Spain, and its per capita GDP was almost as high as that of Canada.

— Edward L. Glaeser, Rafael Di Tella, Lucas Llach, Introduction to Argentine exceptionalism

From 1880–1905, British and French investments fueled livestock and grain exports, sparking rapid expansion and mass European immigration. GDP grew 7.5 times (8% annual average); per capita GDP rose from 35% to 80% of the U.S. level. A 2009 study noted GDP gains post-1870 but stagnant heights (proxy for welfare) until 1910, indicating uneven benefits.

During 1905–1941 growth slowed; although per capita GDP reached ~50% of U.S. levels by 1941, matching Western Europe's but with inequality.

Great Depression (1929–1932)

The Great Depression severely contracted the Argentine economy by sharply curtailing foreign trade, triggering a structural shift away from agro-export dependence. In response, successive governments pursued import substitution industrialization, raising tariffs to shelter domestic manufacturers from foreign competition. The Roca–Runciman Treaty (1933), negotiated to preserve Argentine beef access to British markets following the Ottawa Conference, was widely criticized by Argentine nationalists as an asymmetrical concession to British commercial interests.

Perón era (1945–1955)

Juan Perón nationalized the Central Bank, railways, and industries. Inflation averaged 26% annually (1944–1974); GDP per capita peaked in the early 1950s, but stagnated due to commodity slumps and nationalizations.

Argentine industry benefited from the inability of European countries to supply their products to the world market. Industrial manufactures were exported in considerable volumes, mainly to Latin America and the Caribbean. Some of the policies adopted at that time included rediscounts, the Export and Industrial and Commercial Stimulus Committee, the Industrial Promotion Laws, the creation of the State merchant fleet, credits from the Banco Industrial (1944), and the nationalization of the Central Bank of Argentina (1946). Following Keynesian theories, Perón sought to establish the welfare state, by increasing social security and improving income distribution. He did this through raising public spending and making simultaneous investments in different sectors such as defense, health, education, and housing. Production grew, and the increase in exports fed into an expansion of consumption.

Debt crisis and hyperinflation (1976–1990s)

From 1976–1983, the National Reorganization Process attempted neoliberal policies under José Alfredo Martínez de Hoz ballooned debt; inflation hit 344% in 1983, the currency devalued 10x, while growth stalled.

Stagflation ensued from 1975–1990, driven by increasing debt, tax evasion, and flight; hyperinflation peaked from 1989–1990.

In 1991 under Domingo Cavallo, the government attempted reforms, pegging the peso to the dollar. With the money supply curbed, inflation fell to single digits. Liberalization/privatization boosted GDP 33% in four years. Erratic growth came after 1995. In 2001 a crisis shrank GDP by 20%, unemployment reached 25%, the peso declined by 70%.

Commodity boom and Kirchner recovery (2002–2015)

From 2003–2011, expansionary policies and increased exports created >5M jobs. GDP nearly doubled (7.1% avg. annual, 9% 2003–2007). Real wages rose 72% (2003–2013). Postal, water, pensions, Aerolíneas Argentinas, YPF, railways were renationalized. A crisis stopped growth in 2009, although it rebounded to 9% (2010–2011).

During 2012–2015 capital controls, austerity, inflation, and trade slumps cut growth to 1.3% (2012–2014), edging up to 2.4% (2015).

Debt restructuring (2000s–2010s)

From 2005 to 2010 Argentina restructured $100B in loans. In 2001 it defaulted. Some bondholders rejected the restructuring, preventing it from going final. Debt service reached ~$14B.

In 2018 the IMF completed a bailout – $30B as inflation hit 25%; interest rates reached 40% (world's highest). Inflation hit 54% in 2019 and 211% in 2023.

Milei: shock therapy (2023–2025)

In 2023 inflation crossed 100% and then 200%. Milei (elected with a 55.7% majority) devalued the peso 50–54% to ~800/USD. He cut subsidies/public works ($20B savings), achieved Argentina's first federal budget surplus since 2012.

In 2024, Milei cut 15,000 state jobs, sparking protests. Layoffs grew to over 24,000 by mid-year. Poverty peaked at 57% in January, falling to 38.9–39% in Q3. Inflation crashed to 2.4% in November, falling by almost half at 117.8%, down 93.6 percentage points from 2023's 211.4%. GDP fell between 3.8–4%.

In 2026, the Central Bank of Argentina (BCRA) met its dollar accumulation goal of 10.1 billion in the first six months of the year. Aggressive privatization and debt restructuring with the IMF has led to the S&P Global Ratings agency to upgrade Argentina's sovereign credit rating to a B−.

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