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2011 St. Louis tornado

EF4 tornado in the St. Louis, Missouri metroplex, USA

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Through Tornado, News media and Thunderstorm

In its 21.3-mile (34.3 km) track across the St. Louis metropolitan area, the Good Friday tornado, as it is known by the National Weather Service and the press, damaged thousands of homes, left thousands without power, and caused heavy damage to St. Louis Lambert International Airport, closing it for nearly 24 hours. The tornado crossed over the Mississippi River, and tore the roofs off homes in Granite City, Illinois before dissipating. The tornado was part of a major three-day tornado outbreak across the United States, and was one of two intense (EF3+) tornadoes during the event, with the other being an EF3 tornado that occurred in Macoupin County, Illinois on April 19. This aforementioned outbreak preceded the 2011 Super Outbreak.

Meteorological synopsis

Episode narrative

On April 21, 8:00 PM CDT (01:00 UTC), the Storm Prediction Center issued two slight risk areas of severe thunderstorm activity across the central United States, in one region in west-central Texas to southwest Oklahoma, and another over the latter's northeastern corner, eastern Kansas, west-central Missouri and northwestern Arkansas for the following day. A large area of cyclonic flow interacted with two short-wave troughs over the Pacific Northwest. Strong perturbation traveled from eastern Washington and Oregon towards Idaho. A leading, southern trough was forecasted to move eastward across the central Rocky Mountains, eastern Wyoming and the Nebraska Panhandle.

The following day on April 22, 1:00 AM CDT (06:00 UTC) the Storm Prediction Center (SPC) issued a widespread slight risk area spanning from central Texas to western Ohio, alongside a large 2% tornado risk for most of Missouri, Illinois, Indiana and northwestern Kentucky, as one of the two short-wave troughs was forecasted to weaken as it entered Wyoming from the northeast. Meanwhile the leading trough was expected to become even further perturbated, evolving into a 500-millibar low pressure area over northwestern South Dakota by 1:00 PM CDT (18:00 UTC) and accelerate to the east-northeast. Lee cyclogenesis over southeastern Colorado was forecasted to lift northeastwards along a strengthening front extending from southern Kansas to western Illinois, evolving into a triple point cyclone for the occluded surface low associated with the upper trough over South Dakota. At the same time, a cold front was forecasted to sweep eastwards across Missouri, Illinois to Ohio, with it later stalling over northwest Texas to southeast Oklahoma as a secondary, and weaker low developed. Advection and mixing was expected to force the dry line move to the east across west-central Texas and southern Oklahoma by day. The cold front was forecasted to overtake the dry line in south-central Oklahoma towards the surface low, where the triple point should be set up soon. As a result, multiple rounds of thunderstorms were expected to affect portions of this area to the Ohio River Valley, with 1000–3000 J/kg of CAPE from southern Missouri to the Indiana/Ohio state border area.

Event narrative

At 1:00 PM CDT (20:00 UTC) on April 22, the SPC, which previously issued a moderate risk for a 45% hatched hail risk at 11:30 AM CDT (16:30 UTC) for eastern Oklahoma, northwestern Arkansas and southern Missouri, alongside a 10% tornado risk for southern regions of both Missouri and Illinois, reported a cluster of storms which fired earlier in the morning around the St. Louis area. This cluster in the area of moderately strong, elevated instability was supposedly associated with the warm advection near the nose of the low-level jet, remaining organized in intensity as the cluster moved eastwards towards the Ohio Valley during the afternoon and evening. A retreating surface warm front over the region was expected to aid and focus the convection the cluster was producing.

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