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Cyclone Gati

North Indian Ocean cyclone in 2020

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Gati caused heavy rainfall over Somalia, peaking at 128 mm (5.0 in) in Bosaso. An estimated 10,000 animals were killed by Gati in Ufeyn. The storm killed at least 9 people and displaced approximately 42,000 others in the country and caused millions of dollars in damages. Minor impacts were also observed on the Yemeni island of Socotra and in the Ethiopian Highlands.

Meteorological history

On 17 November 2020, the India Meteorological Department (IMD) noted the potential for tropical cyclogenesis over the central Arabian Sea in association with an area of convection near the Maldives. Convective activity was enhanced by the Madden–Julian oscillation while sea surface temperatures of 29 to 30 °C (84 to 86 °F) and low wind shear favored additional development. By 18 November, a weak low-level circulation developed about 1,185 km (736 mi) east-southeast of Socotra. Organization thereafter was stymied as it became embedded within a monsoon trough. Two additional circulations developed to the east and west of the original low; however, the original low steadily became the dominant system by absorbing the previous two circulations. On 21 November, two scatterometer passes revealed a single, well-defined low with gale-force winds underneath an area of flaring convection. At 18:00 UTC, the IMD classified the system as Depression ARB 04 about 410 km (250 mi) east-southeast of Socotra. Similarly, the Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) initiated advisories on the system as Tropical Cyclone 03A. Steered west by a subtropical ridge to the north, little intensification was expected before the cyclone's forecast landfall in Somalia.

During the overnight of 21 to 22 November the small cyclone quickly organized, with a well-defined eye developing. The IMD upgraded the system to a deep depression early on 22 November and a cyclonic storm soon after. Upon becoming a cyclonic storm, it was assigned the name Gati. Classified as a "midget system" by the JTWC with a core diameter of only 120 km (75 mi) and a 27 km (17 mi) wide eye, Gati explosively intensified that morning, with 1-minute maximum sustained winds increasing from 110 to 185 km/h (70 to 115 mph) in only six hours. The IMD assessed Gati to have reached its peak intensity as a Very Severe Cyclonic Storm around 12:00 UTC, with three-minute sustained winds of 140 km/h (85 mph) and a minimum pressure of 976 hPa (28.82 inHg). Six hours later, Gati had made landfall near Hafun in northeastern Somalia with estimated one-minute sustained winds of 165 km/h (105 mph). This made Gati the first hurricane-force cyclone to strike the country since reliable records began and by default the nation's strongest.

Once onshore, land friction-based shear caused convection to quickly become displaced from the storm's center. The low-level circulation became completely exposed early on 23 November as it traversed northeastern Somalia; the system's upper-level circulation and associated convection detached and accelerated west ahead of the surface low. The increasingly elongated circulation of Gati emerged over the Gulf of Aden by 12:00 UTC, and the JTWC issued their final advisory on the system shortly thereafter.

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