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Ecological stability

When an ecosystem does not drastically change over time even after perturbation

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Through Ecology, Ecosystem and Drought

Stable ecological systems abound in nature, and the scientific literature has documented them to a great extent. Scientific studies mainly describe grassland plant communities and microbial communities. Nevertheless, it is important to mention that not every community or ecosystem in nature is stable (for example, wolves and moose on Isle Royale). Also, noise plays an important role on biological systems and, in some scenarios, it can fully determine their temporal dynamics.

The concept of ecological stability emerged in the first half of the 20th century. With the advancement of theoretical ecology in the 1970s, the usage of the term has expanded to a wide variety of scenarios. This overuse of the term has led to controversy over its definition and implementation.

In 1997, Grimm and Wissel made an inventory of 167 definitions used in the literature and found 70 different stability concepts. One of the strategies that these two authors proposed to clarify the subject is to replace ecological stability with more specific terms, such as constancy, resilience and persistence. In order to fully describe and put meaning to a specific kind of stability, it must be looked at more carefully. Otherwise the statements made about stability will have little to no reliability because they would not have information to back up the claim. Following this strategy, an ecosystem which oscillates cyclically around a fixed point, such as the one delineated by the predator-prey equations, would be described as persistent and resilient, but not as constant. Some authors, however, see good reason for the abundance of definitions, because they reflect the extensive variety of real and mathematical systems.

Stability analysis

When the species abundances of an ecological system are treated with a set of differential equations, it is possible to test for stability by linearizing the system at the equilibrium point. Robert May used this stability analysis in the 1970s which uses the Jacobian matrix or community matrix to investigate the relation between the diversity and stability of an ecosystem.

May stability analysis and random matrix theory

To analyze the stability of large ecosystems, May drew on ideas from statistical mechanics, including Eugene Wigner's work successfully predicting the properties of Uranium by assuming that its Hamiltonian could be approximated as a random matrix, leading to properties that were independent of the system's exact interactions. May considered an ecosystem with S species with abundances N1,…,NS whose dynamics are governed by the couples system of ordinary differential equations,dNidt=gi(N1,…,NS),i=1,…,S. Assuming the system had a fixed point, N1⋆,…,NS⋆, May linearized dynamics as,dNidt=∑j=1SJij(Nj−Nj⋆),i=1,…,S.The fixed point will be linearly stable if all the eigenvalues of the Jacobian, Jij, are positive. The matrix J is also known as the community matrix. May supposed that the Jacobian was a random matrix whose off-diagonal entries Jij(i≠j) are all drawn as random variates from a probability distribution and whose diagonal elements Jii are all -1 so that each species inhibits its own growth and stability is guaranteed in the absence of inter-species interactions. According to Girko's circular law, when S≫1, the eigenvalues of J are distributed in the complex plane uniformly in a circle whose radius is Sσ and whose center is −1, where σ is the standard deviation of the distribution for the off-diagonal elements of the Jacobian. Using this result, the eigenvalue with the largest real part contained in the support of the spectrum of J is −1+Sσ. Therefore, the system will lose stability when,S>1σ. This result is known as the May stability criterion. It implies that dynamical stability is limited by diversity, and the strictness of this tradeoff is related to the magnitude of fluctuations in interactions.

Recent work has extended the approaches of May to construct phase diagrams for ecological models, like the generalized Lotka–Volterra model or consumer-resource models, with large complex communities with disordered interactions. This work has relied on uses and extensions of random matrix theory, the cavity method, the replica formalism, and other methods inspired by spin-glass physics.

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