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2013 Pacific typhoon season

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Through China and South Korea

In mid-July, Typhoon Soulik in July was the strongest tropical cyclone to affect Taiwan in 2013. In mid-August, Typhoon Utor cost US$3.55 billion worth of damage and killed 97 people, after carving a path of destruction across China and the Philippines. In mid-September, Typhoon Usagi struck China's Guangdong province and caused at least $4 billion in total damage. Two weeks later, Typhoon Fitow struck China's Fujian province and wrought over $10 billion worth of damage in total, making it, at that time, China's costliest storm in history.

The season's most powerful and deadliest storm was Typhoon Haiyan. Making landfall in the Philippines as a Category 5 super typhoon in early November, it wrought catastrophic damage and devastation across the country, particularly in the islands of Samar and Leyte, where extensive loss of life was recorded. With over 6,300 fatalities, Haiyan is the ninth-deadliest Pacific typhoon on record and the deadliest in Philippine history.

The scope of this article is limited to the Pacific Ocean to the north of the equator between 100°E and the 180th meridian. Within the northwestern Pacific Ocean, there are two separate agencies that assign names to tropical cyclones, which often results in a storm having two names. The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) will name a tropical cyclone should it be judged to have 10-minute sustained wind speeds of at least 65 km/h (40 mph) anywhere in the basin, whilst the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) assigns names to tropical cyclones which move into or form as tropical depressions in their area of responsibility, located between 115°E and 135°E and between 5°N and 25°N, regardless of whether or not the tropical cyclone has already been given a name by the JMA. Tropical depressions monitored by the United States' Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) are given a number with a "W" suffix.

Seasonal forecasts

During each season, several national meteorological services and scientific agencies forecast how many tropical cyclones, tropical storms, and typhoons will form during a season and/or how many tropical cyclones will affect a particular country. These agencies include the Tropical Storm Risk (TSR) Consortium of the University College London, Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) and the Vietnamese National Center for Hydro Meteorological forecasts (VNCHMF).

In early December 2012, the VNCHMF noted that a tropical depression or a tropical storm could form within December or January and affect Southern Vietnam. Within its January — June seasonal climate outlook, PAGASA predicted that two to three tropical cyclones were likely to develop and/or enter the Philippine area of responsibility between January and March while two to four were predicted for the April to June period. On March 3, the VNCHMF predicted that there would be 11–13 tropical cyclones over the South China Sea during the season, with 5-6 directly affecting Vietnam. Later that month the Hong Kong Observatory, predicted that the typhoon season in Hong Kong would be near normal with four to seven tropical cyclones passing within 500 km (310 mi) of the territory compared to an average of 6. In late April, the China Meteorological Administration's Shanghai Typhoon Institute (CMA-STI) predicted that between 22 and 25 tropical storms would develop within the basin during the year, while the Thai Meteorological Department (TMD) predicted that at least two tropical storms would move towards Thailand during 2013. The first of the two tropical storms was predicted to pass near Upper Thailand in either August or September, while the other one was expected to move to the south of Southern Thailand during October or November. On May 7, the TSR Consortium released their first forecast of the season and predicted that the basin would see a near average season with 25.6 tropical storms, 16 typhoons, 8.9 "intense" typhoons and an ACE index of about 311 units.

In late June after a slow start to the season Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau predicted that the season, would be near average of 25.7 with 23–27 tropical storms occurring over the basin during 2013. Between two and four of the systems were also predicted to affect Taiwan compared to an average of around 3.6. Within its July forecast update TSR noted that despite the slow start to the season, they continued to anticipate either near or slightly above-normal activity for the remainder of 2013; however, the ACE index was reduced slightly to 294 units. During July, PAGASA predicted that between eight and eleven tropical cyclones were likely to develop and/or enter the Philippine area of responsibility between July and September while five to eight were predicted to occur between October and December. Later in the month the VNCHMF, predicted that nine to ten tropical cyclones would be observed within the South China Sea, during the rest of the year. They also predicted that four to five tropical cyclones would directly affect Vietnam, while the CMA-STI predicted that between 22 and 25 tropical storms would develop or move into the basin during the year. On August 6, TSR released their August update and significantly lowered their forecast to 22.3 tropical storms, 13.2 typhoons, 6.6 "intense" typhoons and an ACE index of about 230, which they noted would result in activity about 20% below their 1965–2012 average. This was because the season was running about 60% below the expected year-to-date activity and only one to two typhoons had developed by the end of July. During October 2013, the VNCHMF predicted that one to two tropical cyclones would develop and possibly affect Vietnam between November 2013 and April 2014.

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