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Economy of Afghanistan

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Kabul, Afghanistan view
Weaveravel · CC BY-SA 4.0

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Through Afghanistan, Developing country and Poverty

The Afghan economy continues to improve with strengthening trade routes, infrastructure development and the expansion of the strategically important sectors of agriculture, transport, energy and mining. Economic development and political stability is supported by a large and remittance-rich Afghan diaspora. The country holds mineral deposits worth over $2.5 trillion, with vast amounts of copper, rare earths and minerals. Around 48% of its population lives below the poverty line. The population of Afghanistan increased by more than 50% between 2001 and 2014, while its GDP grew eightfold. After the U.S. withdrawal from Afghanistan in 2021, the U.S. government confiscated $9.5 billion worth of Afghanistan's assets to stop the Taliban from accessing it.

Economic history

When Afghanistan was ruled by Emir Abdur Rahman Khan (1880–1901) and his son Habibullah Khan (1901–1919), a great deal of commerce was controlled by the government. These monarchs were eager to develop the stature of government and the country's military capability, and so attempted to raise money by the imposition of state monopolies on the sale of commodities and high taxes. This slowed the long-term development of Afghanistan during that period. Western technologies and manufacturing methods were introduced at the command of the Afghan ruler, but in general only according to the logistical requirements of the growing army. An emphasis was placed on the manufacture of weapons and other military material. This process was in the hands of a small number of foreign experts invited to Kabul by the Afghans. Otherwise, it was not possible for non-Afghans, particularly westerners, to set up large-scale enterprises in Afghanistan during that period.

In the post-independence period, Da Afghanistan Bank strongly financed the cultivation of cotton; at one point, the Spinzar Cotton Company in Kunduz Province was one of the largest providers of cotton in the world, most of which were exported to the Soviet Union. Fruits were mainly exported to British-controlled India (now Pakistan and India).

The first prominent plan to develop Afghanistan's economy in modern times was the Helmand Valley Authority project of 1952, modeled on the Tennessee Valley Authority in the United States, which was expected to be of primary economic importance. Glenn Foster, an American contractor working in Afghanistan in the 1950s, stated this about the Afghan people:

Even though there are masses of people, the country seems able to feed them all. Although their diet may not be abundant, you don't see the hunger that you do in some countries....

The same can be said today. Afghanistan began facing severe economic hardships after the 1979 Soviet invasion, which caused the permanent closure of all its border checkpoints with neighboring Iran and Pakistan. The civil war of the 1990s destroyed much of the country's limited infrastructure, and disrupted normal patterns of economic activity. Eventually, Afghanistan went from a traditional economy to a centrally planned economy up until 2002 when it was replaced by a free market economy following the 2001 war in Afghanistan. Gross domestic product has fallen substantially since the 1980s due to disruption of trade and transport as well as loss of labor and capital. Continuing internal strife severely hampered domestic efforts to rebuild the nation or provide ways for the international community to help.

According to the International Monetary Fund, the Afghan economy grew 20% in the fiscal year ending in March 2004, after expanding 30% in the previous 12 months. The growth was mainly attributed to United Nations assistance. Billions of dollars in international aid and remittances from expats had entered Afghanistan from 2002 to 2021. A GDP of $4 billion in fiscal year 2003 was recalculated by the IMF to $6.1 billion, after adding proceeds from opium production. Mean graduate pay was $0.56 per man-hour in 2010. The country is still striving to be self-sufficient in wheat, rice, poultry and dairy production.

The recent reestablishment of the Islamic Emirate led to temporary suspension of international development aid to Afghanistan. The World Bank and International Monetary Fund also halted payments during that period. In this regard, Hibatullah Akhundzada stated that "the economy of a country is built when its people work together and do not rely on foreign aid" The Biden administration froze about $9 billion in assets belonging to the Da Afghanistan Bank, which was intended to block the Islamic Emirate from accessing the money. The recent droughts, earthquakes and floods in the country have created further adverse economic situation for many residents. The Ministry of Finance has collected over $2 billion in 2022.

The GDP of Afghanistan is estimated to have dropped by 20% following the Islamic Emirate's return to power. Following this, after months of free-fall, the Afghan economy began stabilizing, as a result of restrictions on smuggled imports, limits on banking transactions, and UN aid. In 2023, the Afghan economy began seeing signs of revival. This has also been followed by stable exchange rates, low inflation, stable revenue collection, and the rise of trade in exports. In the third quarter of 2023, the Afghani rose to be the best performing currency in the world, climbing over 9% against the US dollar.

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