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Yemeni civil war (2014–present)

Armed conflict in the Middle East

  • 60 min read
  • 10 chapters

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Through Civil war, Détente and United Nations Security Council

The civil war began in September 2014 when Houthi forces took over the capital city Sanaa, which was followed by a rapid Houthi takeover of the government. On 21 March 2015, the Houthi-led Supreme Revolutionary Committee declared a general mobilization to overthrow then-president Abdrabbuh Mansur Hadi and expand their control by driving into southern provinces. The Houthi offensive, allied with military forces loyal to former Yemeni president Ali Abdullah Saleh, began fighting the next day in Lahij Governorate. By 25 March, Lahij fell to the Houthis and they reached the outskirts of Aden, the seat of power for Hadi's government. Hadi fled the country the same day. Concurrently, a coalition led by Saudi Arabia launched military operations by using air strikes and restored the former Yemeni government. Although there has been no direct intervention by the Iranian government in Yemen, the civil war is widely regarded as part of the Iran–Saudi proxy conflict.

Houthi insurgents currently control the capital Sanaa and all of former North Yemen except for eastern Marib Governorate. After the formation of the Southern Transitional Council (STC) in 2017 and the subsequent capture of Aden by the STC forces in 2018, the pro-republican forces became fractured, with regular clashes between pro-Hadi forces backed by Saudi Arabia and southern separatists backed by the United Arab Emirates. Al-Qaeda in the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) and the Islamic State have also carried out attacks against both factions, with AQAP controlling swathes of territory in the hinterlands, and along stretches of the coast.

The UN brokered a two-month nationwide truce on 2 April 2022 between Yemen's warring parties, which allowed fuel imports into Houthi-held areas and some flights to operate from Sanaa International Airport to Jordan and Egypt. On 7 April 2022, the Hadi government was dissolved and the Presidential Leadership Council (PLC) took command of the Yemeni Republic, incorporating the Southern Transitional Council into its new government. The UN announced on 2 June 2022 that the nationwide truce had been further extended by two months. According to the UN, over 150,000 people have been killed in Yemen, as well as estimates of more than 227,000 dead as a result of an ongoing famine and lack of healthcare facilities due to the war. The Wall Street Journal reported in March 2023 that Iran agreed to halt all military support to the Houthis and abide by the UN arms embargo, as part of a Chinese-brokered Iran-Saudi rapprochement deal. The agreement is viewed as part of Saudi Arabian-led efforts to pressure the Houthi militants to end the conflict through negotiated settlement; with Saudi and U.S. officials describing the concomitant Iranian behaviour as a "litmus test" for the endurance of the Chinese-brokered détente. Since then, however, Iran has maintained military and logistical support for the Houthis. On 23 December 2023, Hans Grundberg, the UN special envoy for Yemen, announced that the warring parties had committed to steps towards a ceasefire.

The Saudi-led coalition's bombing of civilian areas has received condemnation from the international community. According to the Yemen Data Project, the bombing campaign has killed or injured an estimated 19,196 civilians as of March 2022. Houthi drone attacks targeting civilian areas in Saudi Arabia, UAE, and Southern Yemen have also attracted global condemnation; and the UN Security Council has imposed a global arms embargo on the Houthis since 2015. The United States has provided intelligence and logistical support for the Saudi Arabian-led campaign, and despite an earlier pledge to withdraw U.S. support for Saudi Arabia in Yemen, the Biden administration announced in 2022 the sale of weapons to the Saudi Arabian-led coalition.

Historical context

Islam in Yemen predominantly takes the forms of Sunni and Shia Islam. Among the Shia, the Ismaili and Zaydi sects historically competed for influence. Following the fall of the Ismaili states ruled by the Hamdan tribe in the 11th century, the Ayyubid expansion led to the majority of the Hamdan tribe converting to Zaydism, a Shia sect.

During the Rasulid period (1229 to 1454), Shafi'i Sunni Islam gained popularity in Yemen. Over time, the Zaydis in the north and the Rasulid rulers in the south competed for dominance. This rivalry diminished following the decline of Rasulid rule and the increasing involvement of imperial powers, including the Ottoman Empire.

The defeat of the Ottomans in the First World War eventually brought about the first (incomplete) unification of Yemen. This became possible during the rule of the Hamid al-Din dynasty under Imam Yahya (r. 1918–1948) and his son Ahmad bin Yahya (r. 1948–1962). The unification also meant the establishment of a hierarchy within which Zaydis had authoritative power over Sunnis. As a consequence, the difference in status became institutionalized and normalized. The Hamid al-Din dynasty faced discontent among the Zaydis due to non-conformity to Zaydi traditions; the dynasty came to an end with the overthrow of Imam Yahya's grandson, Imam Badr, in 1962. There followed a civil war (1962 to 1970) in which republicans opposed the royalists. Helen Lackner explains that such a division was not ideological; it was based on past feuds. Nonetheless, external powers like Saudi Arabia intervened for ideological motives: the Saudis sought to maintain the monarchical system to which they adhered themselves. Despite Saudi Arabia's original intentions, in 1970, the republican form was retained.

While these developments took place in the North, liberation movements against British presence in Aden Colony and the Aden Protectorate broke out, resulting to the formation in 1967 of a socialist state, (and hence a Soviet ally) in the Southern Arabian region. It became known as the People's Democratic Republic of Yemen (PDRY) from 1970.

The PDRY was involved in the internal disputes of its northern counterpart. It had previously supported the republicans in fighting off Saudi Arabia's influence, but it was the Hamdi regime (1974 to 1977) in the Yemen Arab Republic (North Yemen) that was most notorious for its policies that aimed to reduce Saudi presence in Yemeni politics. Hamdi's rule was, nonetheless, short-lived. A period of political unrest marked by the assassination of former presidents led to Colonel Ali Abdullah Saleh's rise to the presidency of the Yemen Arab Republic. Saleh's rule lasted for 33 years, from 1978 until 2012. The major event that marked his regime was the unification of Yemen in 1990. His attempt was not entirely successful as a civil war broke out in 1994. However, he was able to come out of it victorious. The Republic of Yemen became constitutionally established in 1991.

Saleh tried to maintain his position through constitutional amendments, hoping for his son to take over, but strong opposition and protests pressured him out of office by 2012. Meanwhile, the group "Friends of Yemen" was created, initially to stop al-Qaeda on the Arabian Peninsula (AQAP) after evidence pointed at it as the main perpetrator behind multiple attacks on US military bases and equipment. The "Friends of Yemen" group became more involved in Yemen during the Arab Spring of 2010 to 2012, after the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and United Nations recommended putting the management of Yemen's "crisis" into the hands of global actors.

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