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Religion in Nigeria

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Through Islam, Christianity and Muslims

The majority of Nigerian Muslims are either Sunni Muslims and are members of Sufi brotherhoods or Tariqa. Most Sufis follow the Qadiriyya, Tijaniyyah or Mouride orders. There is also a small Shia community (see Shia in Nigeria), as well as Ahmadiyya and Mahdiyya minorities. In terms of Nigeria's major ethnic groups' religious affiliations, the Hausa ethnic group in the north is almost entirely Muslim, and the Yoruba are religiously diverse, with most following either Christianity or Islam, though a significant number practice the Yoruba religion. Most Christians are Protestant (broadly defined), though about a quarter are Catholic. The Igbos of the east, the Ibibio, and Ijaw in the south are almost entirely Christians with a few practitioners of traditional religions. The Middle Belt region of Nigeria contains most of the minority ethnic groups and the most religious diversity in Nigeria as the region has a mix of Muslims and Christians, as well as members of traditional animist religions.

Nigeria is officially a secular state with no official state religion. Article 10 of the Constitution states that “The Government of the Federation or a State shall not adopt any religion as State Religion.” However, twelve Muslim-majority northern states have incorporated Sharia courts into their legal systems with the power and jurisdiction of these courts waxing and waning over the past two decades. In some of these states, sharia courts are optional arbitration courts for personal status issues whereas, in others, Sharia has effectively replaced the formerly secular state level legal system in both civil and criminal contexts. This has brought controversy due to its discriminatory practices towards religious and sexual minorities. Northern Nigeria has also been the site of the ongoing Boko Haram insurgency which has led to the death and displacement of tens of thousands of people.

Religious demographics

The 1963 Nigerian census, the last that asked about religion, found that about 47.2% of the population was Muslim, 34.3% Christian, and 18.5% other.

Figures in the 2020 edition of The World Christian Encyclopedia draw on figures assembled and updated as part of the World Christian Database (WCD); these put those who identify as Christians at 46.3%, and Muslims at 46.2% and ‘ethnic religions’ at 7.2%. WCD figures predict that both Muslims and Christians will continue to grow as a proportion of the population through to 2050. Their projections predict Christians at that point will make up on 48% of the population and Muslims at 48.7%, both growing at the expense of ethnic religions, down to 2.9% of the population. Hsu et al. (2008) found that the WCD appears to overestimate Christian identification and cautioned against what seems to be uncritical acceptance of figures given by religious groups of their membership. The criticisms offered by Hsu et al. (2008) have been supported by evidence found by Nigeria Mckinnon (2020), which demonstrated that the WCD had substantially overestimated the Anglican proportion of the population.

The 2008 MEASURE Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) found 53% Muslim, 45% Christian, and 2% other; the 2008 Afrobarometer poll found 49% Christian, 50% Muslim, and 1% other; Pew's own survey found 52% Muslim, 46% Christian, and 1% other.

According to a 2018 estimate in The World Factbook by the CIA, the population is estimated to be 53.5% Muslim, 45.9% Christian (10.6% Catholic and 35.3% other Christian), and 0.6% as other. In a 2019 report released by Pew Research Center in 2015, the Muslim population was estimated to be 50% while the Christian population was estimated to be 48.1%. The Pew Forum in a 2010 report compared reports from several sources. In a 2020 projection based on 2010 estimate released by Pew Research Center, the Muslim population was estimated to be 51.1% while the Christian population was estimated to be 46.9% while the remaining 2% was other.

The 2020 estimate of Pew Research Center reported that Nigeria had a 56.1% Muslim majority while the Nigerian Christian minority numbered around 43.4%.

A 2022 Afrobarometer survey on religion in Nigeria found that, 54.2% of the respondents identified as Christian and 45.5% identified as Muslim. The remaining 0.3% of respondents in Nigeria said they identified with other or no religious beliefs.

The 2024 Nigeria Demographic and Health Survey (DHS) found that 57.7% of the 49,978 respondents identified as Muslim, 41.7% identified as Christian, and the remaining 0.6% practised other religions (including traditional beliefs and no religion).

A 2024 Afrobarometer survey found that 51.4% of the 1,600 respondents identified as Christian and 47.7% identified as Muslim, with the remaining 0.8% identifying with other faiths or no religion.

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