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Economy of the United States

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Lights of Rockefeller Center during sunset
Pedro Lastra · CC0

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The nation is the second-largest manufacturer, with American manufacturing making up a fifth of the global total. The largest U.S. trading partners are Mexico, Canada, China, Japan, and Germany. The U.S. is the world's largest importer and second-largest exporter. It has free trade agreements with many countries. The country is the world's largest producer of petroleum, natural gas, and blood products. The U.S. has the world's largest consumer market. Within the American banking system, as of 2026, commercial banks maintain $25 trillion in assets. The nation maintains a large U.S. treasuries market and hosts the world's largest gold reserves. It is home to 139 of the 500 largest companies globally.

Americans have the sixth-highest average household and employee income among OECD member states. In 2026, they had the highest median household income among OECD countries, with one of the world's highest income inequalities among developed countries. The U.S. has the world's highest number of billionaires, with total wealth of $5.7 trillion. The U.S. has a highly flexible labor market and job security is relatively low. The nation's labor market has attracted immigrants from all over the world and its net migration rate is among the highest in the world. The U.S. has a highly efficient social security system; social expenditure stood at roughly 30% of GDP.

The New York Stock Exchange and Nasdaq are the world's largest stock exchanges by market capitalization and volume of transactions. U.S. capital markets are vast, with combined global equity and bond activity exceeding $134.7 trillion. It has ranked highly in global venture capital as well as research and development funding. The U.S. has spent around 3.46% of GDP on cutting-edge research and development across various sectors of the economy since 2023. Since the 1990s, consumer spending has comprised over 60% to 70% of the U.S. economy. The U.S. is one of the top-performing economies in studies on the ease of doing business index and global competitiveness.

History

Colonial era and 18th century

The economic history of the United States traces back to British settlements along the Eastern seaboard in the 17th and 18th centuries. After 1700, the United States gained population rapidly, and imports as well as exports grew along with it. Africa, Asia, and most frequently Europe, contributed to the trade of the colonies. These 13 colonies gained independence from the British Empire in the late 18th century and quickly grew from colonial economies towards an economy focused on agriculture.

19th century

In 180 years, the United States grew to become a huge, integrated, and industrialized economy, which made up about a fifth of the world economy. In that process, the U.S. GDP per capita rose past that of many other countries, supplanting the British Empire at the top. The economy maintained high wages, attracting immigrants by the millions from all over the world. In the 1820s and 1830s, mass production shifted much of the economy from artisans to factories. New government regulations strengthened patents.

Early in the 19th century, more than 80 percent of Americans engaged in farming. Most of the manufacturing centered on the first stages of the transformation of raw materials, with lumber and sawmills, textiles, and boots and shoes leading the way. The rich natural resources contributed to the rapid economic expansion of the nineteenth century. Ample land allowed the number of farmers to keep growing; but activity in manufacturing, services, transportation, and other sectors grew much faster, so that by 1860 the population was only about 50 percent rural, down from over 80 percent.

In the 19th century, recessions frequently coincided with financial crises. The Panic of 1837 was followed by a five-year depression, marked by bank failures and unprecedented unemployment. Because of the great changes in the economy over the centuries, it is difficult to compare the severity of modern recessions to that of early recessions. Recessions after World War II appear to have been less severe than earlier recessions, but the reasons for this are unclear.

20th century

At the beginning of the century, new innovations and improvements in existing innovations opened the door for improvements in the standard of living among American consumers. Many firms grew large by taking advantage of economies of scale and better communication to run nationwide operations. Concentration in these industries raised fears of monopolies that would drive prices higher and output lower, but many of these firms were cutting costs so fast that trends were towards lower prices and more output in these industries. Many workers shared the success of these large firms, which typically offered the highest wages in the world.

The United States has been the world's largest national economy since around 1890, overtaking the United Kingdom in terms of GDP in 1872 and GDP per capita in 1905, adjusted for purchasing power parity (PPP). For many years following the Great Depression of the 1930s, when the danger of recession appeared most serious, the government strengthened the economy by spending heavily itself or cutting taxes so that consumers would spend more and by fostering rapid growth in the money supply, which also encouraged more spending. Ideas about the best tools for stabilizing the economy changed substantially between the 1930s and the 1980s. From the New Deal era that began in 1933 to the Great Society initiatives of the 1960s, national policymakers relied principally on fiscal policy to influence the economy.

During the world wars of the 20th century, the United States fared better than the rest of the combatants because none of World War I and relatively little of World War II were fought on American territory and neither war was fought in any of the 48 contiguous states. Yet, even in the United States, the wars meant sacrifice. During the peak of World War II activity, nearly 40 percent of U.S. GDP was devoted to war production. Decisions about large swaths of the economy were largely made for military purposes, and nearly all relevant inputs were allocated to the war effort. Many goods were rationed, prices and wages controlled, and many durable consumer goods were no longer produced. Large segments of the workforce were inducted into the military and paid half their wages; roughly half of those were sent into harm's way.

The approach, advanced by British economist John Maynard Keynes, gave elected officials a leading role in directing the economy since spending and taxes are controlled by the U.S. president and Congress. The "Baby Boom" saw a dramatic increase in fertility in the period 1942–1957; it was caused by delayed marriages and childbearing during the depression years, a surge in prosperity, a demand for suburban single-family homes (as opposed to inner city apartments), and new optimism about the future. The boom peaked around 1957 and then began to fade. A period of high inflation, interest rates, and unemployment after 1973 weakened confidence in fiscal policy as a tool for regulating the overall pace of economic activity.

The U.S. economy grew by an average of 3.8% from 1946 to 1973, while real median household income surged by 74% (or 2.1% a year).

Since the 1970s, several emerging countries have begun to close the economic gap with the United States. In most cases, this has been due to moving the manufacture of goods formerly made in the U.S. to countries where they could be made for sufficiently less money to cover the cost of shipping plus a higher profit. In other cases, some countries have gradually learned to produce the same products and services that previously only the U.S. and a few other countries could produce. Real income growth in the U.S. has slowed. In the 1970s and 1980s, it was popular in the U.S. to believe that Japan's economy would surpass that of the U.S., but this did not occur.

21st century

The United States economy experienced a recession in 2001 with an unusually slow jobs recovery, with the number of jobs not regaining the February 2001 level until January 2005. This "jobless recovery" overlapped with the building of a housing bubble and arguably a wider debt bubble, as the ratio of household debt to GDP rose from a record level of 70% in Q1 2001 to 99% in Q1 2008. Homeowners were borrowing against their bubble-priced homes to fuel consumption, driving up their debt levels while providing an unsustainable boost to GDP. When housing prices began falling in 2006, the value of securities backed by mortgages fell dramatically, causing the equivalent of a bank run in the essentially unregulated non-depository banking system, which had outgrown the traditional, regulated depository banking system. Many mortgage companies and other non-depository banks (e.g., investment banks) faced a worsening crisis in 2007–2008, with the banking crisis peaking in September 2008, with the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers and bailouts of several other financial institutions.

The Bush administration (2001–2009) and Obama administrations (2009–2017) applied banking bailout programs and Keynesian stimulus via high government deficits, while the Federal Reserve maintained near-zero interest rates. These measures helped the economy recover, as households paid down debts in 2009–2012, the only years since 1947 where this occurred, presenting a significant barrier to recovery. Real GDP regained its pre-crisis (late 2007) peak by 2011, household net worth by Q2 2012, non-farm payroll jobs by May 2014, and the unemployment rate by September 2015. Each of these variables continued into post-recession record territory following those dates, with the U.S. recovery becoming the second longest on record in April 2018.

The Great Recession occurred during the 2008 financial crisis, when GDP fell by 5.0% from the spring of 2008 to the spring of 2009. Other significant recessions took place in 1957–1958, when GDP fell 3.7% following the 1973 oil crisis, with a 3.1% fall from late 1973 to early 1975, and in the 1981–1982 recession, when GDP dropped by 2.9%. Recent, mild recessions have included the 1990–1991 downturn, when output fell by 1.3%, and the 2001 recession, in which GDP slid by 0.3%; the 2001 downturn lasted just eight months. The most vigorous, sustained periods of growth, on the other hand, took place from early 1961 to mid-1969, with an expansion of 53% (5.1% a year), from mid-1991 to late 2000, at 43% (3.8% a year), and from late 1982 to mid-1990, at 37% (4% a year).

Debt held by the public, a measure of national debt, has risen throughout the 21st century. Rising from 31% in 2000 to 52% in 2009, reaching 77% of GDP in 2017, and exceeding 120% in 2024, the U.S. ranked 43rd highest in debt out of 207 countries.

COVID-19 pandemic

In the first two quarters of 2020 amid Donald Trump's presidency, the U.S. economy suffered major setbacks beginning in March 2020, due to the novel coronavirus and having to "shut-down" major sectors of the American economy. As of March 2020, US exports of automobiles and industrial machines had plummeted as a result of the worldwide pandemic. Social distancing measures which took effect in March 2020, and which negatively impacted the demand for goods and services, resulted in the US GDP declining at a 4.8% annualized rate in the first quarter, the steepest pace of contraction in output since the fourth quarter of 2008. US retails sales dropped a record 8.7% in March alone. The US airline industry had also been hit hard, seeing a sharp decline in its revenues. The COVID-19 recession has been widely described as the most severe global economic downturn since the Great Depression and "far worse" than the Great Recession.

In May 2020, CNN gave an analysis based on unemployment data that the US economy was perhaps the worst that it had been since the 1930s. By May 8, the US had reached a record 14.7 percent unemployment, with 20.5 million jobs lost in April. The Chairman of the US Federal Reserve, Jerome Powell, warned that it may take "an extended time" before the US economy fully recovers from weak economic growth, due to the pandemic, and that in the foreseeable future the US can expect "low productivity growth and stagnant incomes". By May 31, 2020, more than forty million Americans had filed for unemployment benefits.

By June 2020, the slump in US continental flights due to the coronavirus pandemic had resulted in the US government temporarily halting service of fifteen US airlines to 75 domestic airports. The New York Times reported on June 10, 2020, that "the United States budget deficit grew to a record $1.88 trillion for the first eight months of this fiscal year."

The US economy recovered from the COVID-19 pandemic in 2021, growing by 5.7%, which was its best performance since Ronald Reagan's presidency (1981–1989).

2021–2022 marked a historical inflation surge in the United States, with the Consumer Price Index inflation rate hitting 9.1% higher in June 2022 than June 2021, constituting a 41-year high inflation rate with critics blaming the Federal Reserve among other factors. Inflation rate reached 4.9% in April 2023, which was roughly 3% above the Federal Reserve's 2% target rate.

According to a 2024 report put out by Brookings Institution, the American economy fared better following the impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic as compared to the Great Recession, also outpacing the recovery of other countries in the G10. In contrast, both Republican and Democratic leaders provided unprecedented fiscal support through relief bills in 2020 and 2021 to preserve economic activity. Researchers found the preservation of payroll and direct support to households mitigated much of the long-term impact felt following the 2008 crisis, and the supply chain disruptions were more to blame for the inflation that occurred.

Post-COVID economy

On a global scale, the US recovered from COVID's economic drawbacks better than other countries. This includes outpacing the recovery of other economic groups like the G10 and Eurozone, with private consumption rising at a higher pace. By September 2025, inflation had fallen to 2.9%.

The post-COVID US economy has been described as a "K-shaped" economy, or an economy in which wealthy income earners are benefiting from the stock market and rising property values, while lower income earners are having more difficulty making ends meet.

The pandemic has been determined as a major contributor to the increased cost of housing in the United States, according to a study published in the National Library of Medicine. Prior to the pandemic, home ownership rates were already falling due to continued challenges caused by the 2008 recession. The pandemic exacerbated the crisis due to layoffs, rent moratoriums, and increasing foreclosures as the result in lost income. People chose to leave highly populated areas for more rural communities. More people began working from home, allowing for more flexibility in where they lived. The interest rate fell on 30-year mortgages, further increasing the demand for homes. The result was rapidly increasing housing costs. The most impacted have been minorities and people with disabilities.

According to a report released July 13, 2026 by the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, the earnings gap between Black and Hispanic men and White men narrowed following the COVID-19 recession to its lowest point in 25 years in 2022. Black and Hispanic men also experienced a stronger employment recovery than that of White men for the same time period. The shift coincided with, but is not fully attributed to, a slight increase in the number of Black and Hispanic males that obtained both a high school diploma and Bachelors degree.

In 2025, Indeed research stated new job listings had fallen below pre-pandemic levels. Challenger, Gray & Christmas, a global outplacement firm, stated planned layoffs totaled over 1.1 million that November, which was 54% more than in 2024 for the same time period. By mid 2026, 26% of unemployed people had been jobless for longer than six months. Many turned to starting their own business rather than seeking traditional employment. Consumer sentiment had reached a low comparable to that of 2022, according to The University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey. Another survey by KeyBank stated that 35% of 1,000 Americans surveyed were seeking some sort of secondary income through self employment. According to business formation reports from Registered Agents Inc, the number of formations has increased since the initial recovery of the pandemic. The number of businesses formed reached a record monthly high in March 2026, with 624,915 business formations nationwide. The New York Times and Inc. reported that part of the increase in business formations is likely due to the availability of artificial intelligence and its role in simplifying the process of getting started, either by providing answers to questions, or completing tasks that previously required the hiring of employees.

2026 Iran war

In April 2026, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported a 0.9% increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for March 2026, based on the latest data; however, a government shutdown in late 2025 had disrupted the data collection and analysis process. The price index for heating oil rose by 44.2% compared to the previous year, while energy costs increased by 12.5%. Food costs also rose by 2.7% through March 2026. Trading Economics has forecast an inflation rate of approximately 3.5% for the remainder of 2026.

In late September 2026, Federal Reserve Board member Michael Barr stated, "The combination of tariffs and a prolonged war with Iran has caused us to 'deviate from our original path toward the 2% inflation target.'" Consumer spending is expected to rise 0.8% in August, partly due to higher gas prices. In July, it only rose 0.2%. Bank of America noted strong spending despite increased energy costs. Debt and credit card spending grew 6.9% year-over-year, largely from a 26.5% rise in gasoline, while spending excluding gas increased 5.7%. According to the Joint Economic Committee, energy price inflation rose to 16.28 percent from August 2025 to August 2206.


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