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2012 Pacific typhoon season

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The scope of this article is limited to the Pacific Ocean, to the north of the equator between 100°E and the 180th meridian. Within the northwestern Pacific Ocean, there are two separate agencies that assign names to tropical cyclones, which can often result in a cyclone having two names. The Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA) will name a tropical cyclone should it be judged to have 10-minute sustained wind speeds of at least 65 km/h (40 mph) anywhere in the basin. PAGASA assigns unofficial names to tropical cyclones which move into or form as a tropical depression in their area of responsibility, located between 115°E–135°E and between 5°N–25°N, regardless of whether or not a tropical cyclone has already been given a name by the JMA. Tropical depressions that are monitored by the United States' Joint Typhoon Warning Center (JTWC) are given a numerical designation with a "W" suffix.

Seasonal forecasts

During February 2012, the Pacific El Niño/Southern Oscillation Applications Climate (PEAC) Center predicted that the first half of 2012 would see below-normal tropical cyclone activity, as the 2010–2012 La Niña event would prevent the monsoon trough of low pressure from developing normally and any major activity until June. They also suggested that weather patterns would return to near-normal afterwards and that the westward displacement of systems seen in the previous two seasons would not occur. On March 20, the Hong Kong Observatory predicted that the typhoon season in Hong Kong and surrounding areas would likely start in June as a result of the La Niña event. They also predicted that between 5 and 8 systems would pass within 500 km (310 mi) of the territory and possibly impact the territory. On April 11, the Tropical Storm Risk Consortium (TSR) issued its first seasonal forecast for the year, which predicted that the basin would be about 10% below average and feature 25.5 tropical storms, 15.6 typhoons, 7.3 intense typhoons. This was followed later that month by the Shanghai Typhoon Institute (STI), who predicted that between 22 and 24 tropical storms would develop within the basin during the year before TSR tweaked its forecast in May and predicted that the season would be near-normal and feature 8.5 intense typhoons.

On May 21, the Thai Meteorological Department predicted that 1-2 tropical storms would affect Thailand during 2012, with one moving through Vietnam and impacting upper Thailand during August or September, while the other one was expected to impact southern Thailand during October or November. On June 29, Taiwan's Central Weather Bureau (CWB) noted that sea surface temperatures had been gradually increasing and that there was a 50% chance of an El Nino event developing in the Pacific Ocean during the year. They also noted that systems tended to develop further away from Taiwan, had a longer lifespan and a greater intensity during El Nino events and urged citizens and local authorities to prepare. The CWB also predicted that 23 to 26 systems would occur over the basin during the year, of which three to five were expected to impact the island nation. Within its July update, TSR significantly increased its forecast as a result of the warmer sea surface temperatures and now predicted that the basin would see activity about 10% above average with 27.4 tropical storms, 16.7 typhoons, 9.2 intense typhoons. Within its July — December seasonal climate outlook, PAGASA predicted that 7 — 10 tropical cyclones were likely to develop within or enter the Philippine area of responsibility between July and September, while 4 — 7 were predicted to occur between October and December.

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