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Economy of North Korea

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Through Gross domestic product, Revolutions of 1989 and Soviet Union

The collapse of the Eastern Bloc from 1989 to 1992, particularly North Korea's principal source of support, the Soviet Union, forced the North Korean economy to realign its foreign economic relations, including increased economic exchanges with South Korea. China is North Korea's largest trading partner. North Korea's ideology of Juche has resulted in the country pursuing autarky in an environment of international sanctions. While the current North Korean economy is still dominated by state-owned industry and collective farms, foreign investment and corporate autonomy have increased.

Since the 1990s, informal market activity has increased, which the government has tolerated. These markets are referred to as jangmadang, and were formed as a result of the economic collapse during the 1990s, which made the government unable to distribute food to its people. After the start of the COVID-19 pandemic, the government tightened border control and began major crackdowns on private economic activities with a shift to a state-run monopoly on food sales, followed by greater centralization of foreign trade, and overall control over the economy.

North Korea had a similar GDP per capita to its neighbor South Korea from the aftermath of the Korean War until the mid-1970s, but had a GDP per capita of less than $2,000 in the late 1990s and early 21st century. For the first time, in 2021, the South Korean Ministry of Unification estimated that the North Korean private sector outgrew the public sector until 2020. However, the 8th Congress of the Workers' Party of Korea introduced new policies in 2021 which aim to strengthen the old command economy; it has been gradually implementing these policies forcing markets and private economic activities to significantly shrink.

In January 2024, the government announced a programme described by analysts as the biggest regional development drives since the Chollima Movement, the 20x10 Regional Development Policy, a ten-year programme to construct new light-industry factories in 20 counties and cities each year. The initiative aims to raise living standards outside Pyongyang and reduce regional disparities, with facilities including food-processing plants, clothing factories, and related infrastructure.

Size of the North Korean economy

Estimating gross national product in North Korea is a difficult task because of a lack of economic data and the problem of choosing an appropriate rate of exchange for the North Korean won, the nonconvertible North Korean currency. The South Korean government's estimate placed North Korea's GNP in 1991 at US$22.9 billion, or US$1,038 per capita. In contrast, South Korea posted US$237.9 billion of GNP and a per capita income of US$5,569 in 1991. North Korea's GNP in 1991 showed a 5.2% decline from 1989, and preliminary indications were that the decline would continue. South Korea's GNP, by contrast, expanded by 9.3% and 8.4%, respectively, in 1990 and 1991.

It is estimated that North Korea's GNP nearly halved between 1990 and 1999. North Korean annual budget reports suggest state income roughly tripled between 2000 and 2014. By about 2010, external trade had returned to 1990 levels.

The South Korea-based Bank of Korea estimated that over 2000 to 2013 average growth was 1.4% per year. It has published the following estimates of North Korea's GDP growth:

This analysis converts production volume estimates into South Korean prices, so is subject to price changes over time of South Korean goods. According to analyst Andrei Lankov, writing in 2017, a significant number of observers believe that the Bank of Korea is too conservative and the real growth rate is 3–4%. North Korea reported that the government budget has been increasing at between 5% and 10% annually from 2007 to 2015. Reported planned capital expenditure, mainly on roads and public buildings, increased by 4.3% in 2014, 8.7% in 2015 to 13.7% in 2016. According to a North Korean economist, the growth rate was 3.7% in 2017, lifting GDP to $29.6 billion in 2018. The Australian government estimated 1.3% growth in 2017, while the South Korean government estimated −3.5%.

A 2022 publication in the Journal of Asian Economics by Kim Kyoochul disputes the estimates from the Bank of Korea, instead estimating GDP per capita growth of approximately 3% per year from 1999 to 2013 based on analysing satellite imagery of nighttime lights.

In 2018, North Korea's government budget revenue plan overfulfilled 1.4%, an increase of 4.6% over 2017 year.

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